Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 4.439110 4.773893 5.134441 5.553851 6.031216 6.561143 7.198863
2025-08-24 3.863618 4.314649 4.831880 5.477317 6.273568 7.241209 8.535028
2025-08-31 3.573227 4.093469 4.716543 5.534517 6.607270 8.009369 10.062539
2025-09-07 3.345206 3.905672 4.599306 5.546693 6.852371 8.667839 11.553943
2025-09-14 3.082776 3.644793 4.355800 5.353654 6.777930 8.850165 12.359824
2025-09-21 2.892877 3.458254 4.187581 5.236558 6.783070 9.132423 13.370109
2025-09-28 2.750392 3.321199 4.070831 5.174008 6.851496 9.510307 14.626697
2025-10-05 2.646829 3.227468 4.003451 5.171662 7.004544 10.041136 16.312294
2025-10-12 2.587759 3.188652 4.007025 5.270250 7.323275 10.904096 18.968086
2025-10-19 2.528435 3.144868 3.998836 5.347572 7.613225 11.767128 21.994250
2025-10-26 2.456338 3.078599 3.952774 5.360028 7.791303 12.448223 24.904249
2025-11-02 2.364778 2.979952 3.852839 5.277522 7.790173 12.764170 26.970290
2025-11-09 2.261523 2.862747 3.723000 5.143502 7.693356 12.888349 28.639371
2025-11-16 2.181157 2.775527 3.634290 5.071858 7.707071 13.267042 31.456237
2025-11-23 2.137219 2.738894 3.619743 5.122160 7.957921 14.248350 37.362103
2025-11-30 2.087206 2.690753 3.584252 5.132897 8.131390 15.089623 43.715436
2025-12-07 1.999222 2.582794 3.450174 4.962261 7.917300 14.890692 44.879143
2025-12-14 1.931711 2.503101 3.357214 4.858538 7.832115 15.023447 48.101451
2025-12-21 1.879156 2.443879 3.293857 4.803064 7.841999 15.421021 53.526797
2025-12-28 1.841192 2.405252 3.261477 4.800983 7.966051 16.179072 62.889301
2026-01-04 1.823867 2.397185 3.277639 4.888399 8.298095 17.669908 82.727125
2026-01-11 1.803462 2.383458 3.283618 4.956878 8.597031 19.177678 111.020691
2026-01-18 1.773019 2.353013 3.260421 4.967902 8.762541 20.300957 143.696737